Showing posts with label lions_in_oz. Show all posts
Showing posts with label lions_in_oz. Show all posts

Monday, September 03, 2012

Have We Opened Pandora's Box With the New TMO Reviews?

Should TMO now stand for Too Much Officiating? asks @lions_in_oz

TMO

The Aviva Premiership season kicked off on Saturday with a double-header at Twickenham: Wasps v Harlequins and Saracens v London Irish. These matches were played with the new law tweaks introduced by the IRB, and I watched both on telly.  In particular, we got to see the new TMO protocols in action and they have already become a major talking point.

The initial incident came at the end of the first half. Wasps flyhalf, Nicky Robinson, popped a short pass the centres from just inside his own half, and then the ball was spread wide to the left where winger Tom Varndell went over for the score.

Handshakes all round, but the referee was already consulting with his assistant, who thought there may have been a forward pass in the move. Cue the TMO.

The first thing TV viewers were greeted with was a sight of the TMO himself. A box popped up on the screen as if our man was making a Skype call into the match. TMOs will need to be looking their best if that is standard procedure.

It had been a good move by Wasps and looked like an attractive score. Forward passes are notoriously difficult to judge from TV angles so there was some trepidation about how the TMO would interpret the footage. Would he need categorical evidence of a forward pass to deny the try, or would he instead want certainty the pass was good to allow it?

On the advice of his assistant, the referee had asked the TMO to look at a specific passage of play. As it turned out, Robinson's pop pass was clearly forward and the try was not awarded. So, all good, yes?

Well, not completely. There were some dissenting voices immediately. Commentator Austin Healey took almost an aesthetic dislike to the new powers, hating the fact that a good-looking back line move was called back after going as far as the try line. He wondered why the assistant referee hadn't just flagged the forward pass when he saw it.

On Twitter, Clive Woodward was concerned that assistant referees might start to follow the ball rather than watching for incidents behind play, thus potentially missing foul play. Sunday Times journalist Stephen Jones wrote "TMO experiment is full scale disaster in the making, totally unfair and inoperable. Bin it"

Elsewhere, Brian Moore declared that anything which annoyed Austin Healey had to be a force for good, and asked Woodward what grounds he had to believe assistants would change how they watch a game. (Interestingly, Woodward appears to have deleted his tweets on the matter. They weren't really controversial, so it's likely he just didn't want to become the focus for the debate).

By and large, most accepted an accurate call in this instance had been made. In the second half, though, it was noticeable that players started to draw the referee's attention to offences they believed they had taken place in the lead-up to subsequent scores. This hadn't happened at all in the first half.

The referee is not supposed to respond to player appeals and, in this match anyway, he waved them away. However, this kind of pressure could become a feature, and it's possible officials might have to take action against players who protest too vehemently.

It was also striking that the crowd became more active in chorusing "forward", whenever the opposition gave a flat pass, as if to let the referee know he should be prepared to go back should a try result.

This match saw two other TMO referrals. There was a chance a Wasps player had gone into touch before giving a scoring pass. He hadn't, and the try was awarded. In the other incident, Nick Evans kicked across field for Quins full back Mike Brown to collect the ball and score. Here, the issue was whether Brown was onside, and it's the type of review you often see in Rugby League.

One problem with crossfield kicks is getting both players in the same frame. Our first view appeared to show Brown's head at the bottom of the screen in what seemed like an onside position. Players on the pitch could see this on the stadium screen and Evans lined up the conversion.

For some reason, the TMO wasn't completely convinced and looked at other angles. Play was held up for some moments, drawing impatient jeers from the crowd, until he concluded there was no better view, and allowed the try. The delay was disruptive but it seems to come with the territory.

Wayne Barnes was referee in the second match of the opening double-header between Saracens and London Irish, which Saracens won. He quickly went to the TMO twice. The first instance was another pop pass to put Saracens captain Steve Borthwick under the posts for a try. It was forward, and so no try. In the second, Charlie Hodgson was flattened by a tackle and Barnes asked for an opinion on whether it was illegal. The TMO thought it was. It looked a bit high and the tackler failed to use his arms.

There were two points of note here. When the TMO ruled the tackle was illegal, Barnes replied "Yes, I saw it on the screen, and I agree". He then issued a yellow card. That raises the question of what he would have done if he hadn't agreed with the TMO's opinion. I assume he would have had to award the penalty but could have held back on the yellow. Or maybe he could have just overruled the TMO, I don't know. After all, not every ground has a screen for officials on the pitch to see replays so perhaps he doesn't have any discretion.

The second point is, it was clear Barnes saw both offences himself. He didn't require his assistants to bring them up. Last season, he would have just whistled for both. In this match, it appears he used the TMO to confirm what he already suspected.

At the tail end of the game, Barnes called for further TMO reviews for the final two tries. Before the law change, I'm sure he would have given both without hesitation. No forward passes were spotted and both were given. Commentating for ESPN, Ben Kay was disappointed that Barnes wasn't prepared to make the call himself.

(Barnes, of course, does have some history with the question of forward passes).

It was noticeable under the old laws, that referees had begun to ask for TMO opinions on tries even when the pitch officials were in the best position to judge. If more follow Barnes, then supporters may have to get used to the possibility that virtually every try, and maybe most heavy tackles, will come to be referred.

On Saturday, the referees were directing the TMO to look at particular passages of play, not the whole build-up. I strongly suspect there will be "review creep".

After all, we saw last year TMO Johan Meuwesen going beyond his brief to advise against a Jimmy Cowan try for New Zealand against South Africa in Port Elizabeth. Meuwesen had seen the clear forward pass from Dagg, had no authority to speak on the matter, but got an opportunity when the referee asked him about the separate issue of the grounding.

On one of the Saracens tries Barnes asked the TMO to look at "the last two passes". As it turned out, there was a pass prior to those two which looked flat. Barnes probably had that pass in mind anyway, and was just a bit imprecise. There were around five or six quick passes so it's not always easy to keep count.

Indeed, the TMO proceeded to scrutinize the third pass back before concluding it was good (as were the last two). It's not difficult to imagine in the future a TMO spotting an infringement he hasn't been asked to look at and deciding to flag it. It would be less of a leap than Meuwesen took last year.

This, of course, raises the question of how far back in play you go. After the first match at Twickenham, Harlequins head coach Conor O'Shea happened to say he thought one of Wasps' tries originated with an illegal turnover. He wasn't complaining, just noting how his team hadn't really got any breaks while going 27 points behind.

The interviewer seized on his comment and asked whether he would have liked to see the TMO involved. O'Shea looked surprised at the suggestion and said he wouldn't. He saw it as just the rub of the green.

Other coaches might well see things differently. So, how far back can we go? In the current Currie Cup, they have decided to limit the review to cover only the two phases before try is scored. There's no apparent limit on show in the Aviva. Conceivably, the whole passage of play, from the point a team gains possession to when it scores is up for review. That could be a mighty number of phases but a lot of it will be down to how a game is officiated.

Officials now have some choices to make about how they referee a game. Before the law changes, if you saw a questionable pass, you decided to call it out, or give it the benefit of the doubt and play on. Whichever way you went, there was no going back.

Now, referees have a possible third choice: "There's a chance that pass was forward but I'm not sure. I'll play on but go back to it if there's a try". There must be a temptation to start doing this. It keeps the game flowing, which generally makes for a better spectacle. It also allows a referee to avoid making a decision about which he isn't completely certain.

If this does happen, we could end up with a kind of "reverse advantage". A team the referee thinks may have infringed gets to keep the ball if a try looks likely, because he can go back and get the TMO to take a better look.

But that could end up being as much as a minute or more of play. Will a referee really go that far back? If he does, then a try might be disallowed but the defending side will have suffered a big disadvantage. Firstly, they will have spent that time wearing themselves out tackling. Secondly, the minute won't get added back to the clock. For them, it will be a minute out of the game without the ball.

If, on the other hand, a try is scored and the referee doesn't go as far back as the questionable play, then, by default, he decides it was OK. If you are a streetwise team, and you know you've thrown a forward pass in a move which wasn't called, it will be in your interests to set up a series of grinding phases to "clear the slate" and put some distance between the pass and a potential scoring opportunity later.

Imagine, for instance, a team defending a ruck near its own line.They turn the ball over, spin it wide and one of the passes looks forward, but isn't called. The winger sprints off, making deep inroads into the opposition half. He has a chance beat the defence and go for a try but knows that a review could disallow it. Worse still, the review would take play back to his own half, where his team will be defending a scrum near their own line. Instead, he runs a line towards his support so they can secure the ball when he takes the tackle. A try might not result but his team still gets a big advantage if the referee has indeed held back from calling the forward pass.

Both outcomes are undesirable, but very possible if a referees becomes tempted to avoid tight calls, thinking he'll have the TMO to bail him out.

When the new review powers were introduced, I think most of us saw them as just an extra check in the context of the game as we already know it. After just two televised matches here in England, it seems clear they'll raise as many questions as they seek to answer, and may end up with some important unintended consequences. We might be embarking on a strange journey while we digest them.

@lions_in_oz is based in Tokyo, where he spends most of his time expounding on the merits of the Northern Hemisphere game to doubting Kiwis, Aussies and Saffers. He once played openside flanker against a team featuring a young Stuart Barnes at flyhalf, and never managed to lay a hand on him all game.

Wednesday, June 06, 2012

Not looking good for Deans

@lions_in_oz compares the tenures of two Test coaches and draws some conclusions

Robbie Deans did not look a happy man after his side went down to a 6-9 loss against Scotland on Tuesday. 

The sleeting rain and howling winds in Newcastle couldn't drown out calls by his critics for his head. The second-ranked team in the world should not, they cried, have been so ineffective in putting away twelfth-ranked Scotland, who hadn't managed a single win in this year's Six Nations tournament.

It's a little reminiscent of the backlash his opposite number, Andy Robinson, faced during his tenure as manager of England. There are some obvious differences: Deans has kept his job for over four years now, while Robinson was ousted after just over two years. Robinson wasn't given the chance to lead England to a World Cup, while Deans took Australia to New Zealand last year and kept his job after achieving a third place finish. Deans also has some silverware to his name, notably last years's Tri-Nations championship.

However, during his four years, Deans has also notched up some less welcome milestones. The Wallabies endured a 10 match winless streak against New Zealand, which was only ended with a narrow victory in Hong Kong in 2010. Scotland's win was their first in Australia in 30 years. In a similar match last year, Samoa claimed their first ever victory over the Wallabies.

Expectations are high for the national team in Australia. Supporters there feel their team should always be among the game's elite, certainly one of the favourites to win World Cups. And with good reason: they've been in the final three times and taken the title twice. More than that, though, Australians often believe they lead the world in sparkling backline play and attacking rugby. It's a view not always shared by rugby fans elsewhere but it's partly fuelled by the intense competition for audiences with other codes. Excitement on the pitch is regarded as an essential weapon in attracting sponsors and TV money.

In Newcastle, which is a rugby league heartland, you could see the influence of that. It was a tight match on the scoreboard, and the conditions were appalling throughout, yet the crowd booed when Pocock elected to go for goal, rather than kick for territory and look to work a try. Who knows if this burden of expectation led the captain to turn down some later kickable chances. Nevertheless, it was this failure to claim more than three points, with the wind advantage, which proved to be his team's undoing.

When Andy Robinson took over England, nobody really thought he would bring fireworks but he was expected to be successful. England had won a World Cup, and reached number one in the IRB rankings. His final career record in charge was only 9 wins in 22 games. In another era, Robinson might have been given longer to find his feet, but he was on borrowed time for much of his short tenure. 

Quite simply, the RFU had established an economic model, and promises to sponsors, which demanded success or at least a feelgood factor. Robinson's England weren't just not winning, they were playing very poorly and the revenue figures were starting to reflect this. None of the established stars seemed to be able to control a match while the new coach had failed to blood new talent to take up the challenge. The fans and corporate benefactors were unhappy.

Deans is a similar problem for the ARU. He was never a universally popular appointment in December 2007. Some Australians cheered at the thought of stealing a top coach from under the noses of arch-rivals New Zealand, but others bemoaned the selection of a foreigner for the first time. Yes, he led the Wallabies to a third-place finish last year but there was always something slightly unsatisfactory about the performance during the tournament. 

Australia looked totally unprepared for the Ireland in the group stages, then managed a quarter-final win, despite being largely outplayed by South Africa, and finally went down limply to the All Blacks in the semis. Third place was claimed through a good victory over Wales but few supporters came away thinking Australia had just missed out at being champions.

The Australian scrum continues to be a weakness when referees give it their attention. Ireland showed them up in New Zealand and Scotland finally got their reward in Newcastle when Jaco Peyper could no longer ignore what was happening in front of him. The Wallabies coaching staff has seen some turnover under Deans, just as Robinson suffered an enforced clearout on his watch, but little appears to have changed on that front.

More importantly, there are no settled combinations in the backs. Beale, O'Connor, Genia and Cooper are fine talents but, even when all are fit, it's not clear what Deans regards as his first choice line-up. This is most strikingly apparent in the midfield where any number of permutations have been tried. David Campese said after the Scotland match he thinks the Wallabies have lacked a successful 10/12/13 combination for 12 years.

Robbie Deans might be forgiven for not solving the perennial scrummaging issues, but supporters are less impressed with his perceived failure to make the most of his resources in the backs.

This Scotland result has turned up the heat on the Wallaby coach. Deans has a career winning record of 60% but he has never won a Bledisloe Cup and some supporters feel last year's Tri-Nations was a hollow victory given the decision by the Boks to field under-strength sides on the away legs. He is, however, expected to beat British and Irish sides, and here his record has worsened. Like Scotland, England have recorded back-to-back wins, and Ireland famously turned them over in their last meeting during the World Cup.

Wales are the only Home Nations side not to record a recent win over Australia. They haven't won down under against the hosts since 1969. Wallaby supporters are demanding a win.

Deans may feel that he can survive a series loss to Wales if he can go on to deliver the goods in the inaugural Rugby Championship, which starts in August. His contract currently takes him up to the end of 2013. The question for the ARU, however, will be whether they can afford to stick with their man. When the RFU gave Andy Robinson the boot, the World Cup was eleven months away. His successor, Brian Ashton, had one Six Nations tour and a few warm-up games before taking the team to the tournament. He had at least been part of the coaching set-up before that, however.

For Australia, the British and Irish Lions tour is almost exactly one year away. It's one of the premier showcases for rugby union in the country outside the World Cup, and they need a good buzz to bring in the crowds and garner much-needed media coverage. It's an important way to fill the union coffers. Should the Wallabies fall to Wales - which is by no means a probability even after the Scotland result - the ARU will need to decide whether Deans should be given a chance at redemption in the Southern Hemisphere tournament, or whether a new face should be brought in urgently to give them time with the team to start pulling it into shape for 2013.

There are some other international fixtures on the calendar for 2012. Australia are pencilled in to face France, England and Wales in the autumn. If the ARU is thinking of switching horses, though, that surely won't be enough time to bed in a new coach. They would have to consider offering the position to a successor while there were still matches to build a rapport with the players. Nick Mallett is currently free and Wayne Smith might consider taking a role nearer to home. Ewen McKenzie is a popular local favourite and, especially if the Queensland Reds don't make the Super Rugby play-offs, he could also be quickly available.

The ARU's dearest hope must be that Deans can muster his troops to see off the Welsh challenge and put off the moment of reckoning. There's suddenly a lot more at stake at the weekend. 

@lions_in_oz xx is based in Tokyo, where he spends most of his time expounding on the merits of the Northern Hemisphere game to doubting Kiwis, Aussies and Saffers. He once played openside flanker against a team featuring a young Stuart Barnes at flyhalf, and never managed to lay a hand on him all game.


© JL Pagano 2012

D4tress

D4tress
Taken by JLP from RDS press box on Nov 16, 2019