Throughout the season the lads at DropKickRugby.com will be sharing some insights with us on the best bets out there in the rugby market.
This weekend gives us nineteen games to get our teeth stuck into, with all three European Pro leagues entering full swing. It’s a risky time to be a Rugby punter. So often pre-season form can be misleading, but what do we do when there’s no pre-season form at all? There’s a lot of opportunity this weekend but we’re keeping things sensible for the most part.
There’s general agreement on the forum that, going on last season’s form, Glasgow are a decent punt against Ulster with a generous handicap. Looking at the other Rabo games, Leinster could slip up if Scarlets name a first team to take advantage of Leinster’s iffy opening round form. One of our main punts of the week comes in the shape of a Toulouse side that look dangerously underrated by the bookies. With a home win by a point against Castres that was controlled if somewhat contrived (despite looking like they scraped it) and a stuttering win against TOP14 promotees Mont-de-Marsan, the bookies have decided that they merit a start of two or three points away at Biarritz.
In the opening round, Biarritz pulled a try bonus point win from the flames, after a characteristic defensive slip five minutes from time versus Mont-de Marsan let in a try versus fourteen men. It took a Biarritz try on the hooter to take them out to the three try gap required to secure a bonus point in France. Last week they beat a dire Agen side away from home, and while the victory deserved merit, it’s hard to see where the bookies are pulling this handicap from, unless they’re looking at Agen’s home form last year as a telling factor. It isn’t – that was a different Agen side beaten at home last week compared to last year.
Based on Toulouse having one of the best squads in Europe, and being well able to beat a Biarritz side without Yachvilli and Harin-a-dorkey (as the legend Donal Lenihan is fond of saying), we’re firmly on the Toulouse +2/3 at 10/11 this weekend at Dropkickrugby.com.
Best of luck.
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